Disagreement is where edges live. These are the sixteen biggest
model-vs-market gaps from our backtested track record: the players we stood
furthest apart on, and how the next three seasons settled each one. Wins and
losses both on the board.
We ranked them higher
The model saw more than the market did.
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The market ranked them higher
The crowd saw more than the model did.
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What this board is. These are scored historical disagreements from preseason
2019–2022 windows: our walk-forward model rank vs market ADP as the market
proxy: the only clean historical ADP we can legally use (no dynasty ADP archive exists
outside paywalls and scraped sources, which we won't touch). Honest caveats: market ADP
structurally underprices quarterbacks, and these windows are historical, not this week's
board. The full 302–179–23 record is on the track record page.
This board regenerates automatically when the track record updates.